GB · TE
Projected Points (PPR)
This week
No projection changes recorded this week.
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Tucker Kraft is Green Bay's clear top tight end on the depth chart, and the snap data confirms it: 79.3% of the offensive snaps through the first three games of 2026, following an 86.1% share across eight games in 2025. That is a starter's workload by any measure of the position. The target volume has followed him into this season at seventeen targets through three games, though the conversion rate has dropped sharply — nine receptions on those seventeen looks is a 52.9% catch rate, down from 72.7% a year ago. Yards per reception have also slipped, from 15.3 last season to 11.8 so far this year. Red zone involvement, which fueled six touchdowns on twelve red zone targets in 2025, has all but disappeared early this season with a single red zone target logged through three games. The volume is there. The efficiency and the scoring chances are not, at least not yet. Jordan Love remains the starting quarterback in Green Bay, and Kraft's role is a direct function of how Love distributes the ball — the target share exists because the coaching staff and quarterback trust him as an outlet, but touchdowns require the ball to find him closer to the goal line, and that hasn't happened early. Around him, Josh Jacobs anchors the running game and Christian Watson and Jayden Reed occupy the receiver room, which means Kraft's target competition is real but not overwhelming — he still commands a starter's share of the pass-catching work.
The case for Tucker Kraft rests on volume and draft-year momentum. He finished a season ago with 117.2 PPR points across eight games, a 14.7 points-per-game pace that ranked twenty-fourth among all players at his position despite missing time. That per-game number, if sustained over a full season, places him firmly in weekly-starter territory at tight end. The snap share numbers back up the profile: an offense that plays him on 86.1% of snaps in one season and 79.3% in the next is not treating him as a complementary piece. He is the one at his position that Jordan Love looks for consistently, and seventeen targets through three games is not a trickle — it is a real workload. The case against him is written in the same numbers. Nine catches on seventeen targets is a conversion rate that will not hold up if it continues, and 11.8 yards per catch this season, down from 15.3 a season ago, suggests the big chunk plays that padded his per-catch average last year have not shown up yet. Most concerning is the red zone number: one target inside the twenty through three games, compared to twelve across last season. Touchdowns are volatile and touchdown regression can cut both ways, but six scores on twelve red zone looks last season was already an efficient rate — repeating it required continued red zone opportunity, and that opportunity has not materialized early this season. A finish of fifteenth among tight ends through three games, down from twenty-fourth over a full season a year ago, sounds like an improvement on the surface, but points-per-game have actually fallen from 14.7 to 6.5, meaning the ranking move says more about a thin position than about Kraft's own production. The honest read is that the target share is his floor and the touchdown rate is his ceiling variable. If Green Bay's offense funnels red zone work back to him the way it did last season, the receptions and near-72.7% catch rate from a year ago are believable outcomes, and 14.7 points per game is a fair target. If the eight-game red zone freeze continues, he is a possession tight end producing modest weekly totals on volume alone, closer to the 6.5 points per game he has shown through three games than to his prior season. Both outcomes are visible in the numbers already on the page; neither should be dismissed.
Tucker Kraft should be treated as a lineup regular in most formats right now, not a bench-and-wait asset. The 79.3% snap share and seventeen targets through three games are too substantial to bench outright, even with the catch rate and yardage dipping. In a shallow tight end format, he remains a starter on volume alone. In deeper or two-tight-end leagues, he is a low-end starter you can pencil in weekly rather than stream against. What would change that: watch the red zone target count over the next several weeks. A single red zone look through three games is the number that matters most going forward. If that number stays near zero, the touchdown production that drove his 117.2-point season a year ago is unlikely to repeat, and his weekly ceiling shrinks to what the raw reception volume alone can produce. If red zone snaps and targets return to something closer to last season's twelve across eight games, the touchdowns should follow given his catch radius and Jordan Love's evident trust in him as a target. Managers holding him should not panic-sell off a three-game efficiency dip; the underlying role — a near-full-time presence on the field commanding real target share — has not changed. Track the red zone usage specifically rather than reacting to the topline points total alone.
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