ATL · QB
Projected Points (PPR)
This week
No projection changes recorded this week.
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Tua Tagovailoa sits atop the depth chart as the presumptive starter, a position confirmed by his 95.7% share of the offense's snaps across fourteen starts in 2025. That kind of snap share leaves no ambiguity about his standing on the roster: when active, he is the one running the offense, full stop. The volume behind that role was substantial by raw counting numbers — 384 pass attempts, 260 completions, and a 67.71% completion rate that speaks to a functional short-to-intermediate passing game. He threw for 2,660 yards and 20 touchdowns over those fourteen games, numbers that place him firmly in the middle tier of starting quarterbacks rather than at the top. The rushing profile is minimal, with only 20 attempts for 43 yards, meaning essentially all of his fantasy value has to come from the arm. That matters because a quarterback without a rushing floor needs efficient, high-volume passing to produce weekly points, and his 15 interceptions against 20 touchdowns suggest the efficiency wasn't fully there. He finished twenty-fifth among all players at his position in PPR scoring, a result of decent volume undercut by turnovers.
The case for Tua Tagovailoa starts with target distribution. Drake London stands as the clear top receiving option in this offense, a proven possession threat who commands volume regardless of who is throwing him the ball, and Kyle Pitts Sr. gives the passing game a second high-value target at tight end who can work the middle of the field. A quarterback throwing to that combination has a built-in floor of quality looks every week. Bijan Robinson's presence in the backfield also means defenses have to respect the run, which can open up play-action opportunities that fit a rhythm passer's strengths. The 67.71% completion percentage backs up the idea that when he has time and clean reads, he distributes the ball accurately. The case against is straightforward: 15 interceptions over 384 attempts is a rate that erodes weekly upside, and with only 43 rushing yards on the season, there is no alternate path to production on a bad passing week. His 2,660 passing yards and 20 touchdowns across 14 games translate to modest scoring spikes rather than league-winning ceiling weeks. The 175.7 PPR points over the season, working out to 12.5 per game, is fringe-starter production in most formats, not a number that wins a manager's week outright. The honest read is that his role guarantees volume — 95.7% of the snaps is about as much control over the offense as a player can have — but volume alone hasn't offset the turnovers. Whether this offense trends toward more explosive, London-and-Pitts-driven scoring or continues to be capped by turnover issues determines whether he's a reliable option or a streaky one.
Treat Tua Tagovailoa as a streaming option rather than a locked-in starter. His 12.5 PPR points per game and finish of twenty-fifth at his position in 2025 put him below the threshold managers want from a weekly starter in most one-quarterback formats. He is more appealing in two-quarterback or superflex leagues, where his 95.7% snap share and 384 pass attempts worth of volume have real value even with the turnover issues attached. In standard single-quarterback formats, he belongs on the bench as a matchup-dependent streamer, someone to plug in during favorable matchups against defenses that struggle against the pass, particularly given Drake London's ability to win contested targets and Kyle Pitts Sr.'s reliability as a check-down option. What would change this evaluation is a meaningful drop in interception rate — 15 picks on 384 attempts is the number holding him back most. If that number improves while the touchdown total stays near 20, he becomes a viable low-end starter again.
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He was listed as a full participant in practice for the first time since his oblique injury. Atlanta has already named Michael Penix as the starter, but Tagovailoa now appears closer to being available again.
Sep 22, 4:45 PM ET
Source:NBC Sports
Tagovailoa has returned to practice while working back from an oblique issue. That is a positive sign for his availability in the short term.
Sep 22, 2:20 PM ET
Source:NBC Sports
He is listed as doubtful for Week 2 because of an oblique injury, which puts his availability in serious doubt.
Sep 18, 2:20 PM ET
Source:NBC Sports