NE · RB
Projected Points (PPR)
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Rhamondre Stevenson sits atop the New England depth chart, taking 59.8% of the offensive snaps through three games this season, nearly identical to the 60.2% share he carried across fourteen games and thirteen starts in 2025. The volume underneath that snap share tells the real story of his role. Last season he turned 130 carries into 603 yards, a 4.6 average, with seven rushing touchdowns and twenty-six carries inside the red zone. Through three games in 2026 he has thirty-one carries for 116 yards, a 3.7 average, and just one red-zone carry. He remains involved as a receiver — thirty-two catches on thirty-seven targets for 345 yards and two touchdowns last year, and already nine catches on eleven targets for 63 yards this season. That receiving role has not disappeared, but the ground game has thinned. TreVeyon Henderson, the other back on New England's depth chart, is drawing enough work to cut into Stevenson's early-down opportunities, and the single red-zone carry through three games stands in stark contrast to last season's twenty-six. Drake Maye runs the offense at quarterback, and Hunter Henry remains the primary target at tight end, both factors that shape how often the ball reaches the backfield at all. Stevenson's role right now is that of a early-down piece with passing-game value, not a runner dominating the red zone the way he did a year ago. The snap share has held steady, but the usage inside it has shifted toward a smaller rushing role and a check-down role that keeps him fantasy-relevant without making him a focal point of the offense.
The case for Rhamondre Stevenson starts with volume that has not disappeared. He is still playing roughly six of every ten offensive snaps for New England, matching his 2025 figure almost exactly, and he is still catching the ball at a healthy rate — nine receptions on eleven targets already this season, pointing to a quarterback in Drake Maye who trusts him on underneath routes. Last season's 178.8 PPR points over fourteen games, a twelve-point-eight per-game average, reflected a back who could be started in most formats on the strength of touchdowns and receiving work layered on top of modest rushing efficiency. If the touchdown rate normalizes and the red-zone work returns to anything resembling last year's twenty-six carries, the receiving floor alone makes him usable. The case against him is built on the same evidence. His per-game average has fallen to 8.3 points through three games this season, down from 12.8 last year, and his finish among backs has slipped from twenty-fifth to twenty-eighth. The yards per carry number has dropped from 4.6 to 3.7, suggesting the blocking or the matchups have not been favorable, or that he is seeing fewer advantageous looks. Most tellingly, the red-zone work has nearly vanished — one carry inside the twenty through three games, compared to twenty-six across all of last season. Touchdowns are how a back with modest yards-per-carry numbers turns into a usable fantasy asset, and that touchdown equity depends on red-zone volume he currently is not getting. TreVeyon Henderson's presence on the depth chart is the most plausible explanation. If Henderson is absorbing short-yardage and goal-line opportunities, Stevenson's touchdown upside shrinks even if his overall snap share stays level. The honest read is that Stevenson has become a receiving-and-early-down piece operating inside a committee structure, not a back whose role guarantees scoring chances. His snap share says he is still featured; his red-zone share says someone else may be taking over the valuable touches once the offense nears the goal line. Both things can be true at once, and a manager has to decide which one matters more for his particular format. In a league that rewards receptions heavily, the steady target share keeps him viable even with the touchdown drought. In a league built on big plays and scoring, the drop-off in both yards per carry and red-zone touches is a real problem that the earlier snap-share consistency does not explain away.
Rhamondre Stevenson belongs in flex consideration in PPR formats right now, not as an auto-start. The receiving volume — nine catches on eleven targets through three games — gives him a reasonable floor even on a week when the ground game stalls, and that floor is the main argument for keeping him in lineups. But the collapse in red-zone work, from twenty-six carries inside the twenty last season to just one so far this season, means the touchdown equity that drove his 178.8-point 2025 season is not currently present. Treat him as a low-end flex play leaning on catches and yardage, not a back you are trusting for a score. Watch two things closely. First, track how the carries split with TreVeyon Henderson, particularly near the goal line — if Henderson keeps absorbing those chances, Stevenson's ceiling stays capped regardless of his overall snap share. Second, watch whether the 3.7 yards-per-carry figure through three games climbs back toward last year's 4.6 average; a sustained dip suggests the blocking or scheme fit has genuinely changed, not just early-season noise. If red-zone carries return to him in volume, move him back into must-start territory given the receiving floor already in place. If Henderson keeps gaining ground near the end zone, Stevenson becomes a bench piece in shallower leagues and a touchdown-dependent flex gamble in deeper ones. He is worth rostering everywhere given the touches, but lineup decisions should be made week to week based on how the backfield split trends rather than on his name alone.
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