BAL · TE
Projected Points (PPR)
This week
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Mark Andrews remains the clear top tight end on Baltimore's depth chart, a job he has held across eight years in the league. Through four games this season he has played 63% of the offense's snaps, essentially identical to the 62.3% share he carried over seventeen games in 2025. That stability matters: it tells you the role has not shrunk even as the surrounding cast has shifted. The target volume backs it up. Andrews has seen twenty-four targets in four games this season, on pace well ahead of the seventy he drew across all of last year, and he has turned those looks into eighteen receptions at a 75% catch rate, up from 68.6% a year ago. Red zone usage is a smaller sample but still notable — three targets inside the red zone already, against fourteen for the entirety of 2025. The passing offense runs through Lamar Jackson, and with Zay Flowers occupying the top receiving job at wide receiver and Derrick Henry anchoring the run game, Andrews functions as the security blanket over the middle of the field rather than the vertical weapon. That profile tends to produce efficient, moderate-value tight end production rather than boom weeks. One structural note worth flagging: backup quarterback Tyler Huntley sits behind Jackson on the depth chart, and any snaps that shift toward Huntley would almost certainly mean a different rhythm offense, with more emphasis on quick game and short-to-intermediate throws — a style that could actually funnel more low-depth targets toward Andrews given his 8.3 yards per reception mark this season. For now, though, this is Jackson's offense and Andrews occupies the earned, every-week tight end role within it.
The case for Mark Andrews starts with target share and reliability. Twenty-four targets in four games this season, an eighteen-catch, 75% conversion rate, and 149 receiving yards combine to put him on pace for a season that would meaningfully exceed his 2025 full-year production of 422 yards and 131 PPR points. His points per game have climbed from 7.7 last season to 9.7 so far this season, and even though he finished tied at sixteenth among all players at his position, PPR, in both samples, a rising per-game rate within the same finish range suggests more mid-tier weeks and fewer empty ones. He is a low-ceiling, dependable piece in an offense that still features Lamar Jackson as the primary engine of the passing game, and tight ends who catch three-quarters of their targets tend to produce stable, startable weekly floors even without a huge gain per catch. The case against him is built on the same numbers read differently. His yards per reception sits at 8.8 for 2025 and 8.3 so far this season — figures that describe a possession tight end working underneath, not a downfield weapon capable of spiking a week with one explosive play. Only five receiving touchdowns across seventeen games last season and one through four games this year means touchdown equity is thin, and without scores his per-catch value struggles to clear typical flex thresholds. Red zone work has been modest too — fourteen targets inside the twenty across all of 2025, three so far in 2026 — which is usable but not the kind of workload that guarantees weekly scoring. There is also the question of what happens if the offense's rhythm changes. Tyler Huntley sits as the backup quarterback on the depth chart, and a shift toward him under center would likely mean a shorter, more deliberate passing style built around high-percentage completions. That could help Andrews' catch rate but might not add to his yardage or touchdown upside, since Huntley-led offenses tend to lean on quick, low-variance throws rather than designed shots to the tight end in scoring position. Zay Flowers' standing as the primary wide receiver target and Derrick Henry's workload at running back both cap how often the ball funnels to Andrews in any given game; he is a complementary piece, not the focal point, and his overall touch share depends on how Baltimore distributes work across those two players. Taken together, Andrews looks like a tight end whose per-catch efficiency is trending positively but whose explosive-play and touchdown equity remain limited. He is dependable enough to trust for catches and modest yardage most weeks, but his ceiling is capped by both his role in the route tree and the touchdown variance inherent at his position.
Treat Mark Andrews as a weekly starter at tight end in most formats, not a bench-and-wait asset. His 63% snap share and twenty-four targets through four games this season show a quarterback in Lamar Jackson who still looks for him regularly, and a 75% catch rate means those targets convert into fantasy points more often than not. In shallower leagues he is a comfortable low-end starting tight end; in deeper or tighter lineups he is a safe flex-caliber option given the tight end position's overall volatility. What would change this calculus: a sustained shift toward more downfield shots to Zay Flowers or more early-down work funneled through Derrick Henry would reduce Andrews' target share, and any change at quarterback involving Tyler Huntley would alter the passing rhythm in ways that could either help or hurt his per-target value depending on how the offense adjusts. Watch red zone usage closely — three targets inside the red zone through four games is a small sample, and if that number does not grow, touchdown production could stay thin relative to his overall catch volume. Fantasy managers should not bench Andrews based on modest yards per reception alone; 8.3 yards per catch this season reflects role, not decline. He is best used as a plug-and-play tight end who offers moderate, repeatable production rather than someone to chase for a spike week.
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