GB · RB
Projected Points (PPR)
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Josh Jacobs sits atop the Green Bay depth chart at the position, and the 2025 evidence backs that placement: fifteen games, fifteen starts, 234 carries, and 59.3% of the offensive snaps. That volume is the whole story of his value. He worked in the red zone often, with 48 carries inside it producing 13 rushing touchdowns, and he saw enough passing-game work to add 44 targets, 36 receptions, and 282 receiving yards. Jordan Love runs the offense at quarterback, Tucker Kraft is the primary target at tight end, and Christian Watson and Jayden Reed occupy the outside and slot receiving roles, which together give this offense enough spread that defenses cannot simply load the box against the run every snap. MarShawn Lloyd sits behind him on the depth chart with far less experience, and while our board technically lists Lloyd as this team's top-ranked back by depth-chart designation, the actual 2025 workload belonged to Jacobs by a wide margin. That gap between depth-chart label and real usage is the central fact of his role heading into the new season.
The bullish case starts with touchdowns. Thirteen rushing scores on 234 carries, generated from 48 red-zone attempts, is an efficient conversion rate at the goal line, and that kind of scoring rate is sticky when a player keeps getting the ball near the end zone. His 15.8 PPR points per game and finish of thirteenth among all backs in PPR scoring last season reflect a player who, healthy volume aside, produced like a solid weekly starter. The receiving work, 36 catches and 282 yards, adds a floor that pure between-the-tackles runners often lack, even if it never became a featured part of the game plan. The honest counter-argument centers on efficiency and the presence of MarShawn Lloyd. Four yards per carry is middling, not explosive, for a back carrying this kind of workload, and it suggests the touchdown rate could be more a function of red-zone opportunity than explosive ability. If Green Bay's coaching staff decides to diversify the backfield workload the way many teams do in a back's later career years, Lloyd is the name on the roster positioned to siphon carries, and our board's depth-chart designation already signals some organizational appetite for that shift. A seventh-year runner with 234 carries in a single season also represents a body of work that teams sometimes start managing more carefully, which could mean fewer than 234 attempts even if the touchdown rate holds. Put together, the case for Jacobs is volume plus scoring; the case against is inefficiency plus a younger option waiting behind him. Both are true, and a manager should weigh them rather than pick one.
Start Josh Jacobs as a weekly lineup piece in any format that rewards touchdowns, given the 13 rushing scores and heavy red-zone workload in 2025. He is not a player to bench outright based on last year's box score alone; fifteen starts and 59.3% of the snaps is a real workload, not a committee fringe role. Flex him confidently in points-per-reception formats thanks to the 36 receptions, though he is not a target-earning weapon in the passing game at a level that changes his floor dramatically. The variable to track all season is MarShawn Lloyd's carry share. Any stretch where Lloyd's snaps climb toward Jacobs's territory, especially in early-down or red-zone work, is the signal to downgrade Jacobs from a confident start to a matchup-dependent flex. Absent that shift, his role and scoring rate from last season justify treating him as a trustworthy piece of a fantasy roster rather than a wire-dependent flier. Waiver Wizard's roster grading tool is useful here specifically because it flags exactly that kind of workload erosion the moment box scores start shifting, rather than waiting for the story to become obvious weeks later.
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