PHI · TE
Projected Points (PPR)
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Dallas Goedert sits atop the Philadelphia tight end depth chart, with rookie Eli Stowers behind him as a secondary piece rather than a competitor for early-down snaps. Last season Goedert played in fifteen games, started all fifteen, and carried a snap share of 84.8 percent, a number that reflects a role built into the base offense rather than a package player who comes off the field on early downs. He drew eighty-two targets across the year, caught sixty of them for a catch rate of 73.2 percent, and turned that work into 591 receiving yards and eleven touchdowns, with fifteen of his targets coming in the red zone. That red-zone volume matters for a tight end whose per-catch average sat at 9.9 yards — the value is concentrated near the goal line rather than spread across explosive plays downfield. Through the opening game of 2026, his snap share climbed further to 94.5 percent, and he turned five targets into four catches for 77 yards and two touchdowns, a small sample but one that shows no dip in role. Quarterback Jalen Hurts remains the triggerman in this offense, and Goedert's targets are a function of how often Hurts looks his way over receivers DeVonta Smith and Makai Lemon and back Saquon Barkley. With Smith commanding the primary receiver role and Barkley absorbing a heavy share of the backfield work, Goedert's route diet inside the offense functions as the security valve underneath and the finisher near the end zone. Nothing in the early usage suggests a reduced role; if anything, the snap share increase points to more, not less, involvement as a blocker and receiver combined.
The case for Dallas Goedert starts with红ne-zone equity. Eleven touchdowns on just fifteen red-zone targets last season is an efficiency rate that tight end options rarely sustain, but it did not come from empty volume — it came from a role that consistently puts him near the goal line when Jalen Hurts is looking to score. A finish of seventh among all players at his position in PPR scoring last season, on 12.3 points per game, is a solid median outcome for a tight end who is not the focal point of the passing game. The early 2026 workload, with a snap share of 94.5 percent and a per-target average that produced 19.3 yards per reception in the opener, suggests Philadelphia has not diminished his role even with rookie Eli Stowers on the roster. If Goedert continues seeing chances near the end zone the way he did across his 2025 targets, the touchdown equity alone gives him a weekly floor most tight ends do not have. The case against him is about target competition and how thin the volume actually was. Eighty-two targets across fifteen games is modest for a starting tight end, and a catch rate of 73.2 percent on that light target total means the receiving yardage — 591 for the season — was never going to carry him as a standalone number. Yards per reception at 9.9 for the season indicates he was not stretching the field; the value was almost entirely about touchdown conversion in a compressed area of the field. That is a profile vulnerable to touchdown variance — take away a handful of those eleven scores in a given year and the weekly floor collapses toward replacement level, since the yardage was never doing heavy lifting on its own. DeVonta Smith remains the top target for Jalen Hurts among the receivers, and Saquon Barkley's role in the backfield includes receiving work out of the backfield that also competes for Hurts's attention. Both reduce the number of opportunities left over for Goedert, even if his snap share stays high. The honest resolution: the small 2026 sample, a 23.7-point outing with two touchdowns on five targets, looks a lot like an extension of the touchdown-dependent profile from last season, not a transformation into a bigger-target-share player. Nothing about the surrounding offense has changed to suggest volume expansion — Jalen Hurts still distributes to DeVonta Smith first and uses Saquon Barkley extensively in the passing game — so the outlook for Goedert is what it was: a touchdown-driven role with modest target volume and a snap share that keeps him on the field for whatever chances do arrive.
Treat Dallas Goedert as a weekly starter at tight end in most formats, not as a bench-and-stream option. The snap share alone — 84.8 percent last season and 94.5 percent through the 2026 opener — guarantees he is on the field for nearly every offensive snap, and a role that generates red-zone looks the way his did last season (fifteen red-zone targets, eleven touchdowns) gives him a scoring path even on weeks when the yardage is unremarkable. A finish of seventh among all players at his position in PPR points last season, and fifth so far in 2026, both support rostering him as a locked-in starter at the position rather than a matchup-dependent flex. What would change the calculus is a drop in red-zone opportunity. Because the yardage profile is modest — 9.9 yards per reception for the season — his weekly score depends heavily on touchdowns rather than a rising target share. If Jalen Hurts begins funneling more red-zone looks to DeVonta Smith or if Saquon Barkley absorbs more of the goal-line work, Goedert's touchdown equity would erode and his floor would shrink toward a mid-tier tight end outcome rather than a top-ten one. Monitor his red-zone target count each week rather than his overall target total; that number tells you whether the role that made him valuable last season is still intact. Absent that shift, he stays a confident inclusion in the starting lineup.
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Goedert did not return after a knee injury in the first half. His status for the near future is uncertain.
Sep 20, 11:05 PM ET