PHI · TE
Projected Points (PPR)
This week
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Dallas Goedert remains the depth chart TE1 in Philadelphia, a job he has held across eight years in the league, and the early returns in 2026 show a smaller but still central piece of the passing game. Through six games he has played with a snap share of 68.6 percent, down from 84.8 percent across his fifteen starts in 2025, and his targets have come in at thirty-six so far compared to eighty-two for the full prior season. He has started five of his six appearances. The target volume still flows through him in the short and intermediate game, with twenty-six catches on those thirty-six looks, a catch rate of 72.2 percent that closely mirrors last season's 73.2 percent figure. His yards per reception sit at 9.9 both this season and last, a consistency that says his usage pattern — underneath work, move routes, red zone looks — has not fundamentally changed even as the overall share has dipped. Red zone involvement is down, with four targets inside the twenty through six games against fifteen for all of 2025, and that shows up in the touchdown column: two scores so far versus eleven a season ago. The passing offense runs through quarterback Joe Milton, who holds the depth chart QB1 job, and wide receiver DeVonta Smith continues to operate as the primary outside target. Goedert's role is that of the trusted underneath and red-zone safety valve in an offense that is still finding its rhythm with a different quarterback under center.
The case for Dallas Goedert starts with the raw target volume and the fact that his per-catch efficiency has not wavered. Thirty-six targets through six games is a meaningful workload for a tight end, and a 72.2 percent catch rate signals that whoever is throwing him the ball trusts him underneath. His 185.1 PPR points and 12.3 points per game across fifteen games in 2025, good for a finish of seven among all players at his position, established him as a weekly contributor, and the floor of that role — reliable targets, high catch rate, built-in touchdown equity — does not evaporate overnight. Even with Joe Milton at quarterback rather than a more established passer, a tight end who commands the intermediate area of the field can still produce catches and chain-moving plays regardless of who is throwing it, because that role is often the first read in structured concepts. The case against him is written plainly in the decline from last season to this one. His snap share has fallen from 84.8 percent to 68.6 percent, a meaningful drop that suggests he is no longer the every-down presence he was. His red zone looks have fallen from fifteen across a full season to four through six games, and the touchdown total has cratered in step, from eleven scores to two. His points per game have slipped from 12.3 to 10.7, and most tellingly his position finish has dropped from seven to twenty-one, a sign that the per-game average understates how far his weekly ceiling has come down. Some of that drop could be about rhythm and continuity with a new quarterback, since Joe Milton is a different kind of passer than whoever Goedert caught from a season ago, and unfamiliarity in the passing game often shows up first in reduced snap share for possession tight ends before it shows up anywhere else. It is also fair to note that rookie tight end Eli Stowers sits behind him on the depth chart, and even a modest shift in snaps toward a younger player would cut further into an already reduced role. Weighing those two threads, the honest read is that Goedert remains productive when he is on the field and targeted, but he is seeing the field less and is no longer a red zone priority. The yards per reception holding flat at 9.9 in both samples argues that his skill set and role conception have not changed — he is still doing the same job, just less often and with fewer chances to punch it in. Whether that recovers depends largely on how the Joe Milton-led passing offense stabilizes and whether DeVonta Smith's target share as the WR1 leaves enough volume to spare for a possession tight end working underneath.
Treat Dallas Goedert as a streaming, matchup-based flex rather than a locked-in starter right now. The target share and catch rate are still those of a functional tight end option, but the drop in snap share from 84.8 percent to 68.6 percent and the near disappearance of red zone work, four targets through six games versus fifteen across all of last season, mean the touchdown equity that drove his value in 2025 is not showing up the same way in 2026. His points per game at 10.7 is still playable at the position in a given week, but his position finish of twenty-one tells the fuller story of inconsistency. If you already have a tight end who commands more consistent usage, Goedert is best left as a bench piece you check weekly rather than an automatic plug-in. If your roster is thin at the position, he is worth rostering and starting in matchups where his underneath role figures to get more volume, particularly if Joe Milton's rapport with him continues to build. What would change the calculus is a return of his red zone share — if his looks inside the twenty climb back toward last season's pace, the touchdown production and with it his weekly ceiling should follow. Until that shows up in the target logs, treat him as a volume-dependent flex, not a weekly lock.
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