CHI · TE
Projected Points (PPR)
This week
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Colston Loveland is entrenched as the top tight end on the Chicago depth chart, ahead of the offense's other pass catchers in snap share this season at 86.6% of the offense's plays through two games, a jump from the 63.1% he played across all of 2025. That kind of usage tells you the coaching staff wants him on the field on early downs, third downs, and in the red zone. The volume from his rookie season backs up the vote of confidence: eighty-two targets, fifty-eight receptions, seven hundred thirteen yards, six touchdowns, and fourteen red-zone targets across sixteen games, eleven of them starts. That is a real receiving role, not a token one, and it produced 165.1 PPR points, a twelve-point-three per-game average that placed him twelfth among all players at his position for PPR scoring last season. The offense around him is unsettled at other spots. Caleb Williams is a two-year quarterback who has struggled to sustain first-read accuracy, and behind him sit Tyson Bagent and Case Keenum, neither of whom projects to threaten the starting job barring an unexpected change. D'Andre Swift leads the backfield with Kyle Monangai as the primary backup, while Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III man the receiver spots. None of that group commands the same target säure as Loveland did in the red zone last year. The early-season numbers — five targets, one catch, three yards through two games — are a stark contrast to the snap share, and that gap between opportunity and production is the central tension of his profile right now.
The bull case for Colston Loveland starts with usage. A tight end who plays 86.6% of his team's snaps is not a complementary piece; he is central to the game plan, regardless of what the catch totals say in a given week. Last season's full-year line — eighty-two targets, fifty-eight catches, seven hundred thirteen yards, six touchdowns, fourteen red-zone looks — established him as a legitimate receiving threat as a rookie, and a finish of twelfth among tight ends in PPR scoring on 165.1 points is a strong debut, especially given he started only eleven of his sixteen games. Tight ends who see red-zone volume as rookies tend to keep seeing it as their quarterback grows more comfortable with them, and Caleb Williams, entering year two, has every incentive to lean on a big target underneath and in the scoring zone as he works through his own development. The bear case is right there in the two-game sample. One reception for three yards on five targets, with a catch rate of 20%, is a substantial fall from the 70.7% clip he posted over the full season before it. Two red-zone targets have produced nothing. A snap share climbing while production craters usually means one of two things: the quarterback is missing him, or the offense's blocking and route concepts have shifted in a way that limits what he can do after the catch. Given that Caleb Williams himself remains inconsistent and the receiving corps around Loveland, headlined by Rome Odunze and Luther Burden III, has not forced defenses to respect other options, it is plausible defenses are simply keying on the tight end early in the season. The counter to the pessimist's read is that PPR points per game of 10.3 across last season came with real week-to-week variance too, and a rookie tight end syllabus often includes stretches of quiet before volume converts into production again. The honest answer is that the early numbers do not erase the season-long track record but do complicate it. A manager has to weigh a proven eighty-two target, six-touchdown workload against a two-game stretch that looks nothing like it, and decide whether the gap is due to variance around a real role or an early signal that this offense's passing designs have moved away from him.
Treat Colston Loveland as a lineup regular rather than a bench stash, on the strength of last year's role and this year's snap share climbing to 86.6%. The one-catch, three-yard start is thin evidence to bench a tight end who played a majority of his team's snaps and drew two red-zone targets in that stretch; sample size is the entire story so far. Keep starting him in a starting tight end slot unless the pattern extends: watch the next several weeks for continued red-zone targets and overall target volume, not just catches. If targets keep coming and catches simply have not landed, that is normal touchdown-or-bust variance at the position and it should self-correct. If targets themselves start drying up — falling well below the eighty-two-target, fourteen-red-zone pace he set last season — that would be the real signal to worry about, since it would suggest Caleb Williams and the coaching staff are looking elsewhere. Do not bench him because of raw yardage in a two-game window when the underlying opportunity, snap share, remains at a career high. For managers in shallower formats without a clear alternative, he is a hold-and-start; in deeper leagues with tight end depth, monitor the next couple of weeks of target share before making any change. He is not a wire-to-bench candidate given the volume history.
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