CAR · RB
Projected Points (PPR)
This week
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Chuba Hubbard sits atop the Carolina backfield as the depth chart RB1, with Jonathon Brooks behind him as the RB3 on the room's own listing. Through two games this season his role has expanded noticeably from what it was a year ago: a 67.9% snap share so far this season compares to a 46.8% share across all of last season, and that jump shows up in the workload. Twenty-two carries and five targets over two games, with five receptions for 49 yards, point to a back who is now touching the ball in both phases rather than serving as a change-of-pace piece. Five of his twenty-two carries have come in the red zone, evidence that Carolina trusts him near the goal line, and he has already scored a rushing touchdown and two receiving touchdowns in that short sample. Last season he played in fifteen games but started only six, and his 46.8% snap share reflected a committee look that capped his ceiling at 125.4 PPR points across the year, an 8.4-point weekly average that finished him thirty-eighth among backs. The early returns this season are a different shape entirely: 38.1 PPR points through two games works out to a 19.1 weekly average, good for eighth at the position so far. The offense around him is still built around a young quarterback in Bryce Young and a rookie receiver in Tetairoa McMillan, which keeps the passing game unsettled and puts more weight on the ground game to set the tone.
The case for Chuba Hubbard starts with opportunity. A back who goes from a 46.8% snap share to 67.9% in the same offense is not a marginal change — it is a redefinition of his job. Add in five red zone carries already logged and three total touchdowns (one rushing, two receiving) in just two games, and the argument writes itself: more snaps, more looks near the goal line, more chances to catch passes out of the backfield. His 30 receptions on 39 targets last season, for 223 yards and three touchdowns, already showed a back capable of contributing as a receiver, and that skill set matters more now that he is playing on early downs and passing downs alike. The 4.6 yards per carry so far this season also beats his 3.8 mark from a season ago, suggesting the increased workload has not diluted his per-touch efficiency — if anything, the opposite. The case against him is built on the small sample and on what that 3.8 yards-per-carry season a year ago says about the offensive line and scheme in front of him. A career built on 511 rushing yards on 134 carries, with only one rushing touchdown across fifteen games, is not the profile of a back who has shown he can carry a featured workload over a full season. Two games of a 67.9% snap share and 19.1 PPR points per game is an extremely small sample to lean on, and it is fair to ask whether Carolina's offensive approach in those two games reflects an early-season game plan more than a settled organizational commitment. A finish of thirty-eighth among backs in PPR scoring last season is the more established baseline, and until the workload sustains itself over more weeks, it is reasonable to treat the early numbers with some caution. The honest answer sits between those two readings. The touches are real and have been documented above — twenty-two carries, five targets, five red zone carries, three touchdowns — and that volume did not exist for him in this form last season. At the same time, Young's development at quarterback and McMillan's growth as a rookie receiver both remain uncertain variables that could change how much volume flows to the backfield as the season goes on. A back catching passes at this rate (five receptions on five targets) alongside expanded rushing work is exactly the profile that fantasy managers should want, provided the volume proves durable across a longer stretch of games rather than just the season's first two weeks.
Given the workload documented so far this season, Chuba Hubbard belongs in fantasy lineups as a starter right now, not merely a flex option. A 67.9% snap share, five red zone carries, and involvement in the passing game (five receptions on five targets) in a two-game window represent exactly the kind of role that fantasy managers look for when deciding whom to start each week. His weekly average of 19.1 PPR points this season, versus 8.4 a season ago, reflects a meaningfully different job than the one he held last season, when he finished thirty-eighth among backs. The one caveat worth tracking is sustainability. Last season's totals — 134 carries and 511 yards across fifteen games, with only one rushing touchdown — show a back who did not always get this workload, so managers should watch upcoming box scores to confirm the expanded role holds rather than assuming it as a given. If future weeks continue to show a snap share in that same range and red zone touches keep coming his way, he is a confident starter in most formats. If the touches taper back toward last season's shape, he should be treated more as a flex-caliber piece. There is no reason to bench him outright based on what is documented here, and no case for leaving him on the wire in any format where he is available.
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