MIN · QB
Projected Points (PPR)
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Carson Wentz enters the season listed as Minnesota's depth chart QB1, but the numbers from the first two games tell a more complicated story than a straightforward starting job. He has played in two games but started only one of them, and his snap share has fallen to 60.2%, down from the 71.1% he carried across his five starts last season. That kind of drop signals a rotation rather than a clean handoff of the offense. Through two games he has thrown 39 times, completed 23 for 276 yards, and thrown three touchdowns, numbers that work out to 12.8 PPR points per game so far. Last season, across five full starts, he posted 75.34 PPR points on 169 attempts, 110 completions, 1,216 yards, six touchdowns and five interceptions, for a 65.09% completion rate and 15.1 points per game. The rushing production has never been a real driver of his value: eleven attempts for 57 yards last season, eight attempts for five yards this season. Kyler Murray sits above him on our board and is the more established figure in this quarterback room, and the snap-share split through two games looks like the product of a competition for the job rather than a settled depth chart. Whatever the practical split ends up being, Wentz's current role is that of a quarterback fighting to hold onto starts inside his own building, not one entrenched as the unquestioned option.
The case for Carson Wentz starts with the passing offense around him. Justin Jefferson remains one of the most productive receivers in the league regardless of who is throwing him the ball, and a quarterback throwing to a receiver of that caliber has a higher point-scoring floor than his raw statistics might suggest. Wentz's three touchdowns on 39 attempts through two games show he can still push the ball downfield efficiently when given the opportunity, and last season's six touchdowns against five interceptions across five starts is a passable, if unspectacular, ratio for a game manager type. Jordan Addison and T.J. Hockenson give him a second and third read who can each move the chains, and if Wentz settles into a run of consistent starts, the receiving talent in Minnesota gives him a path to points that a lesser roster wouldn't provide. The case against him is built on the same evidence. His snap share fell from 71.1% to 60.2%, and he has started only one of two games this season, both signs that this is not settled as his job to lose. Kyler Murray sits ahead of him on our board and holds the same QB1 designation on the depth chart, and a team does not carry two quarterbacks with that level of pedigree unless there is a real competition happening. Last season's 39th-place finish among all players at his position and this season's 33rd-place finish so far both place him firmly outside any fantasy relevance, even in deep formats. His per-game output, 15.1 points last season and 12.8 points this season, sits below replacement level at the position in nearly every format. The rushing floor that keeps some backup-caliber quarterbacks fantasy-relevant simply is not present here — eleven attempts for 57 yards and eight attempts for five yards are marginal on their own and do nothing to raise a modest passing-points baseline. The honest read is that Wentz's outlook depends entirely on playing time he does not currently control. If Minnesota's coaching staff commits to him as the every-week starter, the presence of Justin Jefferson gives him a mechanism to occasionally hit a strong scoring week. But as long as Kyler Murray remains in the picture with an equal claim on the job, betting on Wentz means betting on a snap share and start count that have both been moving in the wrong direction.
Leave Carson Wentz on the wire in the vast majority of fantasy formats. His 12.8 points per game so far this season and 33rd-place finish among his position group are below any usable bar, even in deep two-quarterback leagues, and the underlying trend, a snap share falling from 71.1% to 60.2% and only one start in two games, points toward less playing time rather than more. He is not a viable start in single-quarterback leagues at all right now, and even in deeper leagues he belongs firmly behind Kyler Murray on your Minnesota watch list. The one scenario worth tracking is a stretch where he strings together three or four consecutive starts and his snap share climbs back toward last season's 71.1% mark. If that happens, the presence of Justin Jefferson and a competent supporting cast in Jordan Addison and T.J. Hockenson would give him a floor worth monitoring as a streaming option in touchdown-heavy formats, since he did throw six touchdowns across five starts last season and three touchdowns already through two games this year. Until that workload shift actually happens, treat him as a wire-only name. Do not use a roster spot on him in shallow or medium-depth leagues, and only stash him in deep leagues if you have bench space to spare and nothing better to speculate on.”}}—removed accidental stray characters. {
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Carson Wentz has been named Minnesota’s starter for Monday night against Buffalo while Kyler Murray deals with a sore hamstring.
Nov 5, 1:50 PM ET
Source:Sporting News