DEN · QB
Projected Points (PPR)
This week
No projection changes recorded this week.
AI-assisted · Researched and drafted by our automated pipeline, then checked for accuracy before publishing. How we make these
Bo Nix is the unquestioned starter in Denver, taking 100% of the offensive snaps through the first two games of 2026 after finishing last season at 99.6%. That is about as complete a share of the offense as a quarterback can hold, and it carries over directly from a 2025 in which he started all seventeen games, threw 612 attempts, and completed 388 of them for a 63.4% clip. Volume has never been the issue. He posted 3,931 passing yards and 25 passing touchdowns last season, adding 356 yards and five touchdowns on the ground across 83 carries, and that dual-thread profile is precisely why his floor sits higher than a pure pocket passer with similar accuracy numbers. Through two games in 2026 he has already thrown for 419 yards and two touchdowns on 59 attempts, completing 66.1% of his passes, though his rushing work has been modest so far at eight carries for eight yards. The passing volume is there. The interceptions are a swing factor to watch — he threw eleven last season and already has two through two games this year, a pace that, if it held, would erode the efficiency gains he has shown in completion percentage. His offense funnels through Jaylen Waddle at the top of the receiver depth chart, with Courtland Sutton next and J.K. Dobbins the lead back option alongside RJ Harvey. None of that changes Nix's snap share; it simply defines who is catching the passes he throws.
The case for Bo Nix starts with structure: a quarterback who plays essentially every snap and racks up designed and scramble rushing yards has a fantasy floor that pure passers lack. Last season's 356 rushing yards and five rushing touchdowns on top of 25 passing touchdowns produced 315.84 PPR points and an 18.6 points-per-game average, good for a finish of seventh among all players at his position. That is a real, proven ceiling, not a projection. The rushing element is what separates him from a computer-model view of his arm alone — a scheme that keeps a quarterback's legs live adds a weekly bonus that pure efficiency numbers do not capture, and that was true across all seventeen games in 2025.p The case against is visible in the two-game sample from 2026: 10.8 points per game and a finish of thirtieth among his position group so far, a sharp drop from where he sat a year ago. Some of that is noise from a small window, but the interception total — two through two games, on pace to match or exceed last year's eleven across a full season — is the number to track, because turnovers cap upside even when the yardage is strong. The rushing production has also cooled, with just eight carries for eight yards so far compared to a much heavier per-game rate implied by his 2025 total of 83 carries for 356 yards. If that rushing floor does not return, he is leaning entirely on the passing game to hit value, and 419 yards on 59 attempts through two weeks, while efficient at 66.1% completion, has not yet translated into big point totals because the touchdown rate has been modest at two through two games.p Jaylen Waddle sits atop the receiver depth chart in Denver, and his role as the primary target matters directly to Nix's weekly ceiling — a quarterback throwing 612 times a season needs a receiver capable of winning target share, and Waddle is that player in this offense, with Courtland Sutton working as the complementary option. On the ground, J.K. Dobbins holds the top running back spot with RJ Harvey behind him, which shapes how much of the rushing offense funnels away from designed quarterback runs versus how often Nix is asked to create yardage himself. The honest read is that Nix's 2025 season was carried as much by his legs and touchdown efficiency as by pure accuracy, and the early returns this year show a passer relying more heavily on his arm without yet recovering his rushing pace. Whether the season-long numbers land closer to last year's 18.6-point weekly average or the current 10.8-point pace depends largely on whether the interception rate settles down and the rushing volume returns.
Start Bo Nix as your primary quarterback in essentially every format right now. The full snap share, the every-week starting role, and the 2025 track record of 315.84 PPR points across seventeen games are the foundation of that call, not the two-game stretch to open 2026. A finish of seventh among his position a year ago on an 18.6 points-per-game pace is the baseline expectation; a finish of thirtieth through two games is a smaller, noisier sample that should not override a full season of evidence. Fantasy managers should watch two things closely: the interception rate, which sat at eleven for the season last year and has already produced two through two games this year, and the rushing volume, which was a real weekly floor-builder in 2025 at 356 yards and five touchdowns on 83 carries but has produced just eight yards on eight carries so far in 2026. If the rushing usage returns to last year's pace, his weekly floor rises with it regardless of through-the-air variance. If it does not, he becomes more dependent on touchdown efficiency in the passing game, where Jaylen Waddle's role as the top target matters most — a heavier target share for Waddle generally correlates with more scoring opportunities funneling through Nix's arm. There is no scenario in the evidence provided that argues for benching him or treating him as a streaming option; the volume and role are too secure for that treatment.
Projections, injury status and news above update automatically. This section is rewritten when his role changes. Browse every player
No recent news
Breaking news appears here within minutes of reporting